Weekly Strategy Rundown

week 2026-09-28 → 2026-10-01 · generated 2026-10-01 10:03 EDT · REAL measured fills   TAPE fill-blind, rank only

Tier 1 · Real money & risk REAL · live Schwab

P&L this week, per leg

legnnet $win%PFavg Wavg L
SCALP1-47.5300.00+0.00-47.53
other1-79.8000.00+0.00-79.80

P&L by leg (chart)

SCALP-48other-80
real money total
-127.33

Trade-by-trade

daylegdirshentryexit$ P&Lslip rt
2026-09-28otherLONG114261.06260.36-79.80n/a
2026-09-29SCALPLONG115259.61259.20-47.53-7.0bp
⚠ an other-tagged trade is a real-money MRVL fill outside the scalp (9:30-33) and A+ (9:45+) windows — likely manual/discretionary. Identify it.

Risk vs kill line — MRVL scalp money leg

losing streak 2 / 8 (6 from kill)
drawdown $-221.03 = 0.74% of $30k
streak kill-line used 25%
drawdown kill-frac used 15%

Kill events & flags

kill events this week: NONE
flags: anchor_flag=1, flow_flag=1

Tier 2 · Fill quality REAL

Anchor 1-share fills (fill vs projection)

symdirdayentrysprfill vs modelexit$30k P&L
ARMSHORT2026-10-01290.860057.4+29.6bp293.2022-242
COINLONG2026-09-30197.445011.7+4.3bp197.9127+71
CRWDLONG2026-09-28253.000026.1+15.8bp251.9100-129
CRWDLONG2026-09-29259.870023.1+23.1bp259.6067-30
CRWDSHORT2026-10-01262.650034.3+33.9bp263.3950-85
DELLSHORT2026-10-01536.644373.9+30.1bp537.5100-48
MSTRLONG2026-09-30162.30008.7-18.5bp162.7600+85
MUSHORT2026-09-301074.855011.4+4.1bp1073.2800+44
MULONG2026-10-011060.515019.7+6.6bp1064.5900+115
NVDALONG2026-09-28230.81001.3-1.3bp231.3800+74
RBLXSHORT2026-10-0142.460030.6+9.4bp42.4150+32
SOFILONG2026-09-2816.39996.1+6.2bp16.2928-196
SOFILONG2026-10-0115.94816.3+1.2bp15.8974-95

Month-end flow fills

symdirdayentrysprfill vs modelexit$30k P&L
AMZNLONG2026-09-30249.80391.2+1.8bp249.6900-14
GOOGLLONG2026-09-30348.68091.1-1.2bp344.3800-370
RBLXLONG2026-09-3042.44502.4+1.2bp42.4450+0

AH earnings fills

symdirdayentrysprfill vs modelexit$30k P&L
MUSHORT2026-09-301055.440234.6+29.3bp1062.7600-208

Fill-quality aggregates

sides measured 34
price-improvement 71%
median vs model +4.6bp
worst fill -24.0bp

Spread paid per leg (entries)

anchor 23.9bp (n=13)
flow 1.6bp (n=3)
ah 34.6bp (n=1)
short-probe entries filled: 5 (ARM, CRWD, DELL, MU, RBLX) · order rejects/borrow-fails: 0

Tier 3 · Forward-test progress REAL · 1-share bench

Anchor bench — all-time real fills (bar → 20)

symfillsnet $win%PFL/Savg spr
MU2/20+159.231009.991/115.6
COIN2/20+94.581009.992/017.5
MSTR1/20+85.031009.991/08.7
NVDA1/20+74.091009.991/01.3
RBLX1/20+31.791009.990/130.6
DELL1/20-48.4000.000/173.9
ARM1/20-241.5800.000/157.4
CRWD3/20-244.7400.002/127.8
SOFI2/20-291.2900.002/06.2

Bench net $ by name (chart)

MU+159COIN+95MSTR+85NVDA+74RBLX+32DELL-48ARM-242CRWD-245SOFI-291

Month-end flow (this week)

2026-09-30
-384

AH earnings (this week)

MU S
$30k -208

MRVL short probe (1-share, down-open; measurement)

fills 0/15
this week 0
net@real $+0
win 0%
staged — awaiting redeploy; no probe fills captured yet. Decide promote/kill at 15 fills.

Tier 4 · Scanner / tape TAPE · fill-blind, rank only

start 2026-09-22 · 17 names · updated 2026-09-30 16:45 · no spread/commission (UPPER BOUND)

This week tape standings

symntape $win%avgL/S
MSTR3+655100+2181/2
COIN4+56875+1421/3
HOOD2+247100+1240/2
MU3+194100+650/3
AVGO1+135100+1351/0
TSLA3+10733+361/2
RBLX4+9750+242/2
AAPL1+77100+770/1
DELL1+29100+290/1
AMD1-500-501/0
ARM2-6150-310/2
MRVL2-1280-642/0
SMCI4-13750-341/3
SOFI2-1630-811/1
CRWD2-1740-872/0
PLTR3-4040-1352/1

All-time (since 2026-09-22) tape standings

symntape $win%avgL/S
MSTR6+1288100+2153/3
COIN8+107075+1344/4
DELL3+568100+1891/2
HOOD7+36371+523/4
TSLA7+33429+482/5
MU4+259100+651/3
AAPL2+221100+1111/1
RBLX8+20750+263/5
AVGO2+177100+891/1
NVDA2-650-31/1
AMD2-3450-172/0
MRVL5-9120-184/1
ARM5-12140-242/3
SMCI4-13750-341/3
CRWD4-2980-742/2
SOFI5-33220-663/2
PLTR6-8320-1393/3

All-time tape net $ by name (chart)

MSTR+1288COIN+1070DELL+568HOOD+363TSLA+334MU+259AAPL+221RBLX+207AVGO+177NVDA-6AMD-34MRVL-91ARM-121SMCI-137CRWD-298SOFI-332PLTR-832

Tier 5 · Market / regime CONTEXT

idxwk rangewk volprev rangewk %chg
SPY0.65%36.6M0.77%-0.68%
QQQ0.81%26.0M1.25%+0.04%
MRVL3.75%12.1M4.43%+0.59%
scanner SIGNAL rows this week: 41 · (Claude layer adds momentum regime on/off read)

Tier 6 · Ops / health OPS

filelast writeage
scalp_fills.jsonl10-01 09:350.5h
flow_fills.jsonl09-30 15:5918.1h
ah_fills.jsonl09-30 16:0318.0h
trades.json09-30 16:3017.5h
scalp_shadow_book.json09-30 16:4517.3h
Claude layer adds: QC deploy Running/flat, Schwab reauth countdown, error-log scan.

How to read this

Noon-Friday run captures the week's mornings (scalp, anchors). Friday afternoon legs — A+ power hour, month-end flow, AH earnings — happen later and land in next week's report. REAL = money/1-share fills you can trust; TAPE = fill-blind replay, ranking only (it ignores spread, so it overstates).